Showing posts with label generations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label generations. Show all posts

Thursday, November 11, 2021

Norman Podhoretz's Why Are Jews Liberals?

The following are extracts (for review purposes) from Why Are Jews Liberals?, Norman Podhoretz, 2009:

In addition to the extracts, I also think the high level of education which Jews possess leads to an economic preference for life near large cities, which in turn contributes to preferring liberalism.

"[T]he authoritative Declaration of Principles formulated by [Reform Judaism's] Pittsburgh Platform of 1885 included:

" 'We recognize, in the modern era of universal culture of heart and intellect, the approaching of the realization of Israel's great messianic hope for the establishment of the kingdom of truth, justice, and peace among all men.' " [emphasis added] – p. 89

"[I]n the history of Jewish emancipation[,] the first period covered the 150 years leading up to the French Revolution (1640–1789), and the second, lasting about ninety years (1789–1878), was marked by the achievement through fits and starts of emancipation throughout Western and Central Europe. In the third period, which got under way in 1878, further progress was made in the extension of emancipation to Eastern Europe.

"In each of these periods the opposition to granting legal equality to the Jews was based on a different rationale.

"At the start of the first period, the prevailing justification, left over from the Middle Ages, was religious: the Jew was debarred from equal treatment simply by virtue of the fact that he was not a Christian. But as creeping secularization began undermining the religious rationale, a new one, political in nature, was developed that would ultimately take precedence[.] Now Jews were to be denied equal treatment because they were an unassimilable minority—'a nation within a nation.' But by the time the second period ended, the political objection—even in de facto collaboration with the religious one in those circles where 'nation' meant 'Christian nation'—had proved itself unable to prevent full legal emancipation from being enacted everywhere in Western and Central Europe. In spite of this failure, the political rationale remained very much alive even while pride of place was being given to yet a third rationale that was more suited to the times: that the Jews were neither a religious community nor a nation but a race." – pp. 105–6

"In the late nineteenth century (as witness the claims of the Marxists, the Freudians, and the social Darwinians), a theory needed to be deemed scientific before it could win widespread acceptance—and so it was with the racism that became the latest and most up-to-date basis for opposition to, or rather rollback of, Jewish emancipation." – p. 106

"In 1879, at the very onset of the third period, a journalist named Wilhelm Marr...founded the first popular political organization devoted entirely to defending 'Germandom' from the Jewish threat. He called it 'The League of Anti-Semites.' Because this previously unknown term jibed so well with the new racism, it immediately caught on and became the name of choice for the many anti-Jewish organizations and political parties that followed[.]" – pp. 106–7

"The...situation in the cultural realm, which would prove to be more decisive than the political, was anything but reassuring. In the years leading up to the Dreyfus Affair, assimilated Jews, along with Christians of Jewish origin (who in spite of having been baptized continued generally to be regarded as Jews), had been growing more and more prominent in every area of European culture. They were journalists, they were writers, they were musicians, they were painters and sculptors. Many of them had imagined that so thorough an immersion in[,] and so deep a devotion to[,] the languages and the traditions of the surrounding societies would be welcomed as a mark of how faithfully they were keeping their part of the bargain under which emancipation had been granted. Yet it was becoming increasingly clear that the opposite was the case—that the more complete the integration, the more resentment it was engendering.

"In its early stages, this manifested itself in a nationalist unease over the 'takeover' of the culture by people who, however much they might pretend otherwise, were not really flesh of our flesh and bone of our bone and therefore had no right to speak in 'our' name[.]" – p. 114

"Once the new racism took hold, such feelings...—that the Jews, being a 'nation within a nation,' were unassimilable—...were provided with a much more powerful rationale in the idea that Jews were not merely foreign but mortally dangerous, and all the more so when they strove to assimilate. Richard Wagner, who argued that Jews were incapable of artistic creativity because they were by nature rootless cosmopolitans, did not stop with this essentially nationalist (or 'Voelkisch') argument [but] reinforc[ed] it with the new racism[.]

"[W]hen, in 1897, the composer and conductor Gustav Mahler was appointed to head the court opera in Vienna, a storm of protest erupted against giving so important a musical post to a Jew. Under the older anti-Jewish dispensations, the fact that Mahler had converted to Catholicism would have deflected or at least lowered the temperature of any such protest. But in the eyes of the new Voelkisch-racist anti-Semitism, Mahler was, and would always remain, a Jew, and therefore incapable of understanding and conveying the true spirit of German music." – p. 115

"It would be a mistake to think—as did many German-Jewish intellectuals who, even after the Holocaust, were unable to rid themselves of the conviction that German culture was superior to all others (especially American)—that only similiterate thugs fell for the Voelkisch-racist view of the Jews." – p. 116

"Roosevelt had become far more than a popular politician or even a great leader to the Jews of America. To say that he was the Messiah would be going too far, but not by all that much." – p. 127

"The reason Jews had been attracted to the Democratic Party in the first place was that it represented the closest American counterpart to the forces on the Left that had favored Jewish emancipation in Europe—just as the Republicans seemed to represent an American version of the conservative forces that had opposed equal rights for Jews in the past." – p. 142

"As the mantra that became familiar in the '60s had it, 'war, racism, and poverty' were America's three great afflictions[.]

"On racism..., the position of the liberal establishment was that the way to solve the 'Negro problem' was through 'integration,' and against this idea, too, we radicals mounted an assault....There was no unified position on the Left as to a viable alternative. [One] faction was advocating 'positive discrimination' or, in its later iteration, 'affirmative action[.]'" – pp. 151–2

"[T]he two decades that followed the end of World War II constituted what some of us were calling a 'Golden Age of Jewish Security'....To the extent that...the Jewish defence agencies...still spent time on anti-Semitism, they largely devoted it to attacking the 'radical Right' and its Christian allies. Yet in an article titled 'The Radical Right and the Rise of the Fundamentalist Minority,' David Danzig, then the program director of the AJC [American Jewish Committee], could find no open or outright anti-Semitism in either the secular or religious components of this movement. He simply took it for granted that such a movement must necessarily represent a danger to Jews. It was an assumption that fit in well with The Authoritarian Personality, a study sponsored by the AJC in 1950 in which the authors, in investigating the psychological roots of totalitarianism, focused entirely on the political Right and never even bothered to consider whether the same qualities might exist on the political Left (which they most certainly did)." – pp. 157–8

"In my talk [to the AJC],...I then quoted the warning of Daniel P. Moynihan (who, although a Democrat, was at that point in his career serving in the White House as Nixon's chief advisor on domestic affairs) that if, under the guise of 'affirmative action,' the merit system were replaced by a system of proportional representation according to race or ethnic origin, the Jews, constituting a mere 3 percent of the population, would be 'driven out.' Yet such a replacement was precisely what was being advocated in powerful circles that continued to regard themselves as impeccably liberal in outlook. To put the matter brutally, in the name of justice to blacks, discriminatory measures were to be instituted once more against the Jews." – pp. 162–3

Copyright (c) 2021 Mark D. Blackwell.

Helen Pluckrose & James Lindsay's Cynical Theories

The following are extracts (for review purposes) from Cynical Theories: How Activist Scholarship Made Everything about Race, Gender and Identity—and Why This Harms Everybody, Helen Pluckrose & James Lindsay, 2020:

"Postmodernism first burst onto the intellectual scene in the late 1960s and quickly became wildly fashionable among leftist and left-leaning academics. As the intellectual fad grew, its proselytes set to work, producing reams of radically skeptical Theory, in which existing knowledge and ways of obtaining knowledge understood as belonging to Western modernity were indiscriminately criticized and dismantled. The old religions—in the broadest sense of the word—had to be torn down. Thus, the ideas that we can come to know objective reality[,] and that what we call 'truth' in some way corresponds to it[,] were placed on the chopping block, together with the assumptions that modernity had been built upon. The postmodernists sought to render absurd our ways of understanding, approaching, and living in the world[,] and in societies. Despite proving simultaneously modish and influential, this approach had its limits. Endless dismantling and disruption—or, as they call it, deconstruction—is not only destined to consume itself; it is also fated to consume everything interesting and thus [to] render itself boring.

"That is, Theory couldn't content itself with nihilistic despair. It needed something to do, something actionable. Because of its own morally and politically charged core, it had to apply itself to the problem it saw at the core of society: unjust access to power. After its first big bang beginning in the late 1960s, the high deconstructive phase of postmodernism burnt itself out by the early 1980s. But postmodernism did not die. From the ashes arose a new set of Theorists whose mission was to make some core tenets of postmodernism applicable[,] and to reconstruct a better world.

"The common wisdom among academics is that, by the 1990s, postmodernism had died. But, in fact, it simply mutated from its earlier high deconstructive phase into a new form. A diverse set of highly politicized and actionable Theories developed out of postmodernism proper. We will call this more recent development applied postmodernism. This change occurred as a new wave of Theorists emerged in the late 1980s and early 1990s. These new applied postmodernists also came from different fields, but, in many respects, their ideas were much more alike than those of their predecessors[,] and provided a more user-friendly approach. During this turn, Theory mutated into a handful of Theories—postcolonial, queer, and critical race—that were put to work in the world[,] to deconstruct social injustice.

"We therefore might think of postmodernism as a kind of fast-evolving virus. Its original and purest form was unsustainable: it tore its hosts apart and destroyed itself. It could not spread from the academy to the general population[,] because it was so difficult to grasp and so seemingly removed from social realities. In its evolved form, [however,] it spread, leaping the 'species' gap from academics to activists to everyday people, as it became increasingly graspable and actionable and therefore more contagious. It mutated around a core of Theory[,] to form several new strains, which are far less playful and far more certain of their own (meta)narratives. These are centered on a practical aim that was absent before: to reconstruct society in the image of an ideology[,] which came to refer to itself as 'Social Justice.' " – pp. 45–6

"For postmodernists, Theory refers to a specific set of beliefs, which posit that the world[,] and our ability to gather knowledge about it[,] work in accordance with the postmodern knowledge and political principles. Theory assumes that objective reality cannot be known, [that] 'truth' is socially constructed[,] through language and 'language games[,]' and is local to a particular culture, and [that] knowledge functions to protect and [to] advance the interests of the privileged. Theory therefore explicitly aims to critically examine discourses. This means something specific. It means to examine them closely so as to expose and disrupt the political power dynamics it assumes are baked into them[,] so that people will be convinced to reject them and [to] initiate an ideological revolution.

"Theory, in this sense, has not gone away, but neither has it stayed the same. Between the late 1980s and roughly 2010, it developed the applicability of its underlying concepts[,] and came to form the basis of entirely new fields of scholarship, which have since become profoundly influential. These new disciplines, which have come to be known loosely as 'Social Justice scholarship,' co-opted the notion of social justice from the civil rights movements and other liberal and progressive theories. Not coincidentally, this all began in earnest just as legal equality had largely been achieved[,] and antiracist, feminist, and LGBT activism began to produce diminishing returns. Now[,] the main barriers to social equality in the West were lingering prejudices, embodied in attitudes, assumptions, expectations, and language. For those tackling these less tangible problems, Theory, with its focus on systems of power and privilege perpetuated through discourses, might have been an ideal tool—except that, as it was wholly deconstructive, indiscriminately radically skeptical, and unpalatably nihilistic, it was not really fit for any productive purpose.

"The new forms of Theory arose within postcolonialism, black feminism...intersectional feminism, critical race (legal) Theory, and queer Theory, all of which sought to describe the world critically in order to change it. Scholars in these fields increasingly argued that, while postmodernism could help reveal the socially constructed nature of knowledge and the associated 'problematics,' [their] activism was simply not compatible with fully radical skepticism. They needed to accept that certain groups of people faced disadvantages and injustices based on who they were, a concept that radically skeptical postmodern thinking readily deconstructed. Some of the new Theorists therefore criticized their predecessors for their privilege, which they claimed was demonstrated by their ability to deconstruct identity and identity-based oppression. Some accused their forebears of being white, male, wealthy, and Western enough to afford to be playful, ironic, and radically skeptical, because society was already set up for their benefit. As a result, while the new Theorists retained much Theory, they did not entirely dispense with stable identity and objective truth. Instead, they laid claim to a limited amount of both, arguing that some identities were privileged over others[,] and that this injustice was objectively true.

"While the original postmodern thinkers dismantled our understanding of knowledge, truth, and societal structures, the new Theorists reconstructed these from the ground up, in accordance with their own narratives[.] Thus, while the original (postmodern) Theorists were fairly aimless, using irony and playfulness to reverse hierarchies[,] and [to] disrupt what they saw as unjust power and knowledge (or power-knowledge) structures, the second wave of (applied) postmodernists focused on dismantling hierarchies[,] and making truth claims about power, language, and oppression. During its applied turn, Theory underwent a moral mutation: it adopted a number of beliefs about the rights and wrongs of power and privilege. The original Theorists were content to observe, bemoan, and play with such phenomena; the new ones wanted to reorder society. If social injustice is caused by legitimizing bad discourses, [then,] they reasoned, social justice can be achieved by delegitimizing them and replacing them with better ones. Those social sciences and humanities scholars who took Theoretical approaches began to form a left-wing moral community, rather than a purely academic one: an intellectual organ more interested in advocating a particular ought[,] than [in] attempting a detached assessment of is—an attitude we usually associate with churches, rather than universities." – pp. 46–8

"By losing the ironic playfulness and despair of meaning characteristic of high-deconstructive postmodernism[,] and by becoming goal-oriented, Theorists of the 1980s and 1990s made postmodernism applicable to institutions and politics. By recovering the idea of identity as something that—although culturally constructed—provided group knowledge and empowerment, they enabled more specific forms of activism-scholarship to develop. Theory therefore turned from being largely descriptive to highly prescriptive—a shift from is to ought. After the applied postmodern turn, postmodernism was no longer a mode of describing society and undermining confidence in long-established models of reality: it now aspired to be a tool of Social Justice. This ambition would come to fruition in the early 2010s, when a second significant evolutionary mutation in postmodernism occurred.

"The new Theories emerging from the applied postmodern turn made it possible for scholars and activists to do something with the postmodern conception of society. If knowledge is a construct of power, which functions through ways of talking about things, knowledge can be changed and power structures toppled by changing the way we talk about things. Thus, applied postmodernism focuses on controlling discourses, especially by problematizing language and imagery it deems Theoretically harmful....The intense scrutiny of language and development of ever stricter rules for terminology pertaining to identity often known as political correctness came to a head in the 1990s and has again become pertinent since the mid-2010s.

"This carries politically actionable conclusions. If what we accept as true is only accepted as such because the discourses of straight, white, wealthy, Western men have been privileged, applied Theory indicates this can be challenged by empowering marginalized identity groups[,] and insisting their voices take precedence. This belief increased the aggressiveness of identity politics to such an extent that it even led to concepts like 'research justice.' This alarming proposal demands that scholars preferentially cite women and minorities—and minimize citations of white Western men—because empirical research that values knowledge production rooted in evidence and reasoned argument is an unfairly privileged cultural construct of white Westerners. It is therefore, in this view, a moral obligation to share the prestige of rigorous research with 'other forms of research,' including superstition, spiritual beliefs, cultural traditions and beliefs, identity-based experiences, and emotional responses.

"As these methods can be applied to virtually anything, a vast body of work drawing on any (or all) identity-based fields has emerged since roughly 2010. It asserts the objective truth of socially constructed knowledge and power hierarchies with absolute certainty. This represents an evolution that began with the applied turn in postmodernism[,] as its new assumptions became known-knowns—that which people take for granted because it is known that they are 'known.'

"These changes have been steadily eroding the barrier between scholarship and activism. It used to be considered a failure of teaching or scholarship to work from a particular ideological standpoint. The teacher or scholar was expected to set aside her own biases and beliefs in order to approach her subject as objectively as possible. Academics were incentivized to do so by knowing that other scholars could—and would—point out evidence of bias or motivated reasoning and counter it with evidence and argument. Teachers could consider their attempts at objectivity successful if their students did not know what their political or ideological positions were.

"This is not how Social Justice scholarship works or is applied to education. Teaching is now supposed to be a political act, and only one type of politics is acceptable—identity politics, as defined by Social Justice and Theory. In subjects ranging from gender studies to English literature, it is now perfectly acceptable to state a theoretical or ideological position and then use that lens to examine the material, without making any attempt to falsify one's interpretation by including disconfirming evidence or alternative explanations. Now, scholars can openly declare themselves to be activists and teach activism in courses that require students to accept the ideological basis of Social Justice as true[,] and [to] produce work that supports it." – pp. 61–3

"While, initially, postcolonial Theory scholarship mostly took the form of literary criticism and the discursive analysis of writing about colonialism...the field gradually expanded and simplified. By the early 2000s, the concept of decolonizing everything had begun to dominate scholarship and activism, and new scholars were using and developing the concepts in different ways, with more actionable elements. They...extended the focus beyond ideas and speech about literal colonialism to perceived attitudes of superiority towards people of certain identity statuses. These included displaced indigenous groups and people from racial or ethnic minorities who could be considered in some way subaltern, diasporic, or hybrid, or whose non-Western beliefs, cultures, or customs had been devalued. The aims of postcolonial Theory also became more concrete: focusing less on disrupting discourses they saw as colonialist in the fairly pessimistic way typical of postmodernism[,] and more on taking active steps to decolonize these, using the militant Social Justice approach that has taken hold since 2010. This has mainly occurred via various decolonize movements, which can be taken as the product of more recent Theorists having reified the assumptions of postcolonial Theory and put them into action.

"What it means to decolonize a thing that is not literally colonized varies considerably. It can refer simply to including scholars of all nationalities and races[.] Such campaigns focus on reducing reliance on white scholars from former colonizing powers and replacing them with scholars of color from formerly colonized regions. However, we also see a drive for a diversity of 'knowledges' and epistemologies—ways of deciding what is true—under Theory[,] often described as '(other) ways of knowing.' This comes with a strong inclination to critique, problematize, and disparage knowledge understood as Western." – p. 77

"If we think of the first postmodernists of the late 1960s as a manifestation of radical skepticism and despair[,] and the second wave, from the late 1980s, as a recovery from hopelessness[,] and a drive to make [the] core ideas politically actionable, [then] this third wave, which became prominent between the late 2000s and the early 2010s, has fully recovered its certainty and activist zeal. The first postmodernists were reacting largely to the failure of Marxism, the longstanding analytical framework of the academic left, and suffering from major disillusionment. Because their theoretical framework of choice was falling apart, they adopted the cynical attitude that nothing could be relied upon anymore. The metanarratives they were skeptical of included Christianity, science, and the concept of progress, among others—but, with the loss of Marxism, came a loss of hope of restructuring society towards 'justice.' They therefore sought only to dismantle, deconstruct, and disrupt existing frameworks ironically, with a kind of joyless playfulness. This was the state of cultural thought in the 1970s.

"By the time this first wave of despairing skepticism—the high deconstructive phase of postmodernism—had worn itself out twenty years later, the academic left had somewhat recovered hope and was looking for more positive and applicable forms of Theory. It took postmodernism's two key principles and four themes, and tried to do something with them. Thus, postmodern Theory developed into the applied postmodern Theories, plural. [For instance,] postcolonial Theory...would, if it could, rescue the 'other' from the West, mostly by tearing the West down....Above all else, intersectional feminism sought empowerment through identity politics and collective action, which largely defines the current cultural mood....So, by the 1990s, the applied postmodern turn had arrived, [which] made postmodern Theory actionable, and focused on identity and identity politics.

"As these Theories developed through the late 1990s into the 2000s within various forms of identity studies...they increasingly combined their aims, to become steadily more intersectional. By the mid-2000s, if you studied one of the key topics—sex, gender identity, race, sexuality, immigration status, indigeneity, colonial status, disability, religion, and weight—you were expected to factor in all the others....This resulted in a form of general scholarship that looks at 'marginalized groups[,]' and multiple systems of power and privilege.

"As so many of these marginalized groups united[,] and the various streams of thought merged to create a single large pool of similar, competing issues, Social Justice scholars and activists also became much more confident in their underlying assumptions. As the 2010s began, the ambiguity and doubt that had characterized postmodernism up until then had almost entirely disappeared[.]" – pp. 184–6

"Social Justice scholarship does not just rely on the two postmodern principles and four postmodern themes: it treats them and their underlying assumptions as morally righteous known-knowns—as The Truth According to Social Justice. It therefore constitutes a third distinct phase of postmodernism, one we have called reified postmodernism because it treats the abstractions at the heart of postmodernism as if they were real truths about society.

"To understand how the three phases of postmodernism have developed, imagine a tree with deep roots in radical leftist social theory. The first phase, or high deconstructive phase, from the 1960s to the 1980s (usually simply referred to as 'postmodernism'), gave us the tree trunk: Theory. The second phase, from the 1980s to the mid-2000s, which we call applied postmodernism, gave us the branches—the more applicable Theories and studies, including postcolonial Theory, queer Theory, critical race Theory, gender studies, fat studies, disability studies, and many critical anything studies. In the current, third phase, which began in the mid-2000s, Theory has gone from being an assumption to being The Truth, a truth that is taken for granted. This has given us the leaves of the tree of Social Justice scholarship, which combines the previous approaches as needed. The constant in all three phases is Theory, which manifests in the two postmodern principles and four postmodern themes.

"Social Justice scholarship does not merely present the postmodern knowledge principle—that objective truth does not exist and [that] knowledge is socially constructed and a product of culture—and the postmodern political principle—society is constructed through knowledge by language and discourses, designed to keep the dominant in power over the oppressed. It treats them as The Truth, tolerates no dissent, and expects everyone to agree or be 'cancelled.' We see this in the obsessive focus on who can produce knowledge and how[,] and in the explicit desire to 'infect' as many other disciplines as possible with Social Justice methods. This is reflected in a clear wish to achieve epistemic and research 'justice[,]' by asserting that rigorous knowledge production is just a product of white, male, and Western culture[,] and thus no better than the Theoretically interpreted lived experiences of members of marginalized groups, which must be constantly elevated and foregrounded.

"The four postmodern themes are not generally treated by Critical Social Justice scholars as a reification of postmodernism. They are facets of The Truth According to Social Justice.

"This has had a number of consequences. Scholars and activists devote tremendous effort to searching for and inflating the smallest infractions—this being the 'critical' approach. They scrupulously examine people's current and past speech, particularly on social media, and punish purveyors of 'hateful' discourses. If the person involved is considered influential, the mob may even try to end her career altogether.

"Social Justice scholarship represents the third phase in the evolution of postmodernism. In this new incarnation, postmodernism...now seeks to apply deconstructive methods and postmodernist principles to the task of creating social change, which it pushes into everything. In the guise of Social Justice scholarship, postmodernism has become a grand, sweeping explanation for society—a metanarrative—of its own.

"So let's return to the contradiction at the heart of reified postmodernism: how can intelligent people profess both radical skepticism and radical relativism—the postmodern knowledge principle—and at the same time assert the Truth According to Social Justice (Theory) with absolute certainty?

"The answer seems to be that the skepticism and relativism of the postmodern knowledge principle are now interpreted in a more restrictive fashion: that it is impossible for humans to obtain reliable knowledge by employing evidence and reason, but, it is now claimed, reliable knowledge can be obtained by listening to the 'lived experience' of members of marginalized groups—or what is really more accurate, to marginalized people's interpretations of their own lived experience, after these have been properly colored by Theory.

"The difficulty with this sort of Social Justice 'way of knowing' is, however, the same as that with all gnostic 'epistemologies' that rely upon feelings, intuition, and subjective experience: what should we do when people's subjective experiences conflict?

"[W]hat Social Justice scholars seem in practice to do is to select certain favored interpretations of marginalized people's experience (those consistent with Theory) and anoint these as the 'authentic' ones; all others are explained away as an unfortunate internalization of dominant ideologies or cynical self-interest...at the price of rendering the Social Justice Theory completely unfalsifiable and indefeasible: [N]o matter what evidence about reality (physical, biological, and social)[,] or philosophical argument may be presented, Theory always can and always does explain it away.

"It is therefore no exaggeration to observe that Social Justice Theorists have created a new religion, a tradition of faith that is actively hostile to reason, falsification, disconfirmation, and disagreement of any kind. Indeed, the whole postmodernist project now seems, in retrospect, like an unwitting attempt to have deconstructed the old metanarratives of Western thought—science and reason along with religion and capitalist economic systems—to make room for a wholly new religion, a postmodern faith based on a dead God, which sees mysterious worldly forces in systems of power and privilege[,] and which sanctifies victimhood. This, increasingly, is the fundamentalist religion of the nominally secular left." – pp. 207–11

"It is not a coincidence that the applied postmodern turn began in the late 1980s, just as the Civil Rights Movement, liberal feminism, and Gay Pride began to see diminishing returns after twenty years of remarkably rapid progress towards racial, gender, and LGBT equality on a legal and political level. With Jim Crow laws dismantled, Empire fallen, male homosexuality legalized, and discrimination on the grounds of race and sex criminalized, Western society was newly aware and ashamed of its long history of oppression of marginalized groups and wanted to continue righting those wrongs. Since the most significant legal battles had been won, all that remained to tackle were sexist, racist, and homophobic attitudes and discourses. Postmodernism, with its focus on discourses of power and socially constructed knowledge, was perfectly placed to address these." – pp. 230–1

"There is a significant danger in Social Justice imposing its social constructivist beliefs on the institutions of society. A good case study of this is provided by the events at Evergreen State College, which got overtaken by the ideas of critical race Theory generally[,] and of the Theorist and educator Robin DiAngelo specifically. [After a precipitating event,] a contingent of student-activists reacted angrily. The result was mayhem: student-activists began to protest and riot at events all over campus. Proceedings at the college were entirely disrupted[.] The problem escalated to the point where student-activists were barricading doors against the police, holding faculty members as de facto hostages, and, armed with baseball bats, stopping cars to search for [the target of the protest].

"The campus descended into mob madness, and Evergreen has not yet recovered from it.

"There is a one-word answer to how this could have happened: Theory. What happened at Evergreen is a demonstration at the microcosmic scale of what happens when Theory gets applied to an autonomous institution in a real-world setting. The Evergreen establishment set itself up for destruction by accepting enough of the 'antiracism' views of critical race educators like Robin DiAngelo—not least the idea of white fragility—to have lost its ability to mount a defense against the protestors. Indeed, when some students of color expressed support for [the target of the protest] and made similar statements to his, the mob shouted them down and dismissed their own lived experience, most probably because it didn't align with the 'authentic' experience detailed by Theory. Thus, once enough people, most notably the faculty member Naima Lowe, who taught media studies at Evergreen at the time of the meltdown, accused the college of being a racist institution overrun by white supremacy, the faculty and administrators, who had taken on 'antiracist' concepts from critical race Theory, had no recourse but to accept the accusation and start making the changes demanded.

"What else could they do? The Theory of 'white fragility,' among others, tied their hands such that to do anything else was, in the eyes of the prevailing Theory, to confirm their complicity in the very problem they had every reason to deny....Having accepted that 'the question isn't "did racism take place?" but rather "how did racism manifest in that situation?",' the only possible conclusion was that they were working for an intrinsically racist organization. Those were the charges. Having accepted the Social Justice idea that the only possible way not to be complicit in racism is to accept the charge and take on an endless amount of antiracism work, as dictated by Theory, they were powerless against an extremist minority of faculty and students, particularly once administrators like the new president George Bridges got on board. It is extremely unlikely that the majority of the students and faculty at Evergreen who were sympathetic to the concerns voiced by Social Justice knew that this was what they were signing up for.

"This dynamic is predictable once Theory is introduced into a closed system. The ideas begin to gain some currency with some of the population, who become sympathetic partisans and begin to take on the Theoretical worldview. In that state, they 'know' that systemic bigotry is present in all institutions, including their own, and that it lurks beneath the surface in need of exposure and problematization through the 'critical' methods. Eventually, a Theoretically relevant incident occurs or, as may have been the case at Evergreen, is manufactured, and the Theorists within that institution begin to focus intently on the revealed 'problematics' at the bottom of the problem. This will be interpreted systemically, and the community fragments as every discussion and argument turns into a series of accusations and close readings of every utterance made by anyone who isn't being sufficiently Theoretical. To do anything but acquiesce and take up the fight on behalf of Theory is taken to 'prove' one's complicity with the systemic problem at the institution's heart, and there is no recourse. If enough activists have adopted enough Theory in the institution by the time the incident occurs—and there will always be an incident eventually[,] as even a misunderstanding or faux pas will qualify—Theory will consume the institution. If it folds, it deserved it[,] because it was systemically bigoted in the first place. If it survives, even as a fragment of its former self, it will do so consistent with Theory or as a toxic battleground around Theory. This is not a bug of Theory; it's a feature. It is what the 'critical' method at its heart was intended to do from the beginning. Indeed, this dynamic has played out in diverse settings beyond Evergreen, including online forums dedicated to hobbies like knitting, the Atheism Movement of the early 2010s, and even conservative churches." – pp. 231–3

"The ideas of Social Justice scholarship often look good on paper. That's almost always the way with bad theories. Take communism, for example. Communism presents the idea that an advanced and technological society can organize itself around cooperation and shared resources and minimize human exploitation. The injustices that spring from disparities between capitalism's winners and losers can be eliminated. With sufficient information—information that proves incredibly hard to get without markets, as we now know—surely we can redistribute goods and services[,] in much fairer and more equitable ways, and surely the moral benefits are sufficient to inspire all good people to participate in such a system. We just have to get everyone on script. We just all have to cooperate. That's the theory. But, in practice, communism has generated some of the greatest atrocities of history and been responsible for the deaths of millions.

"Communism is a great example of the human tendency to fail to appreciate how our best theories can fail catastrophically in practice, even if their adherents are motivated by an idealistic vision of 'the greater good.' Postmodernism began as a rejection of communism, along with all other grand theories belonging to the modern period, the Enlightenment, and the premodern faiths that came before them. The cynical Theorists whom we now recognize as the original postmodernists laid the groundwork for a new Theoretical approach to human hubris. Rather than following in the footsteps of their predecessors, who attempted grand, sweeping explanations and visions of how the world could and should work, they wanted to tear it all apart, right down to the foundations. They weren't just skeptical of specific visions of human progress: they were radically skeptical of the possibility of progress at all. This cynicism was effective. In becoming politically actionable, this cynicism was specifically applied to remake society—not just to complain about it—and thus evolved into Theories we face today, particularly in Social Justice scholarship and activism. On paper, those Theories seem to say good things. Let's get to the bottom of bigotry, oppression, marginalization, and injustice, and heal the world. If we could all just care a little more, and care in the right way, we could make our way to the right side of history. We just have to get everyone on script. We just have to get everyone to cooperate. We just have to ignore any problems and swear solidarity to the cause.

"It isn't going to work. Social Justice is a nice-looking Theory that, once put into practice, will fail, and which could do tremendous damage in the process. Social Justice cannot succeed because it does not correspond with reality or with core human intuitions of fairness and reciprocity and because it is an idealistic metanarrative. Nevertheless, metanarratives can sound convincing and obtain sufficient support to significantly influence society and the way it thinks about knowledge, power and language. Why? Partly because we humans aren't as smart as we think we are, partly because most of us are idealists on at least some level, partly because we tend to lie to ourselves when we want something to work. But Theory is a metanarrative and metanarratives are, in fact, unreliable.

"The postmodernists got that right." – pp. 234–5

"The answer to these problems isn't new, though, and perhaps that's why it isn't immediately gratifying. The solution is liberalism, both political (universal liberalism is an antidote to the postmodern political principle) and in terms of knowledge production (Jonathan Rauch's 'liberal science' is the remedy for the postmodern knowledge principle). You don't need to become an expert[.] But you do need to have a little bit of courage to stand up to something with a lot of power. You need to recognize Theory when you see it, and side with the liberal responses to it—which might be no more complicated than saying, 'No, that's your ideological belief, and I don't have to go along with it.' " – pp. 265–6

Copyright (c) 2021 Mark D. Blackwell.

John McWhorter's Winning The Race

The following are extracts (for review purposes) from Winning the Race: Beyond the Crisis In Black America, John McWhorter, 2005:

"[W]hat turned black Indianapolis down a wayward path was two things....One was the rise of a hostile, anti-establishment ideology as mainstream opinion....The other was the expansion of welfare such that it could provide a passable living indefinitely. The rest was history—ours." – p. 70

"The burden of proof is upon [others] to explain why these two factors—oppositional culture and open-ended welfare—would not have a profound historical impact on poor black communities. That is, they must be prepared to state that they would agree with the following proposition:

When a community experiences a new charismatic oppositional ideology and links it to authentic race membership, and at the same time is encouraged by bureaucrats to sign up for open-ended welfare payments, this will have only marginal effect upon attitudes to employment, self-sufficiency, and adherence to mainstream behavior." – p. 72

"The roots of black America's therapeutic alienation in inner pain ties in [sic] to the teachings of Eric Hoffer in his classic monograph The True Believer. Hoffer wrote in 1951....

"Hoffer was interested in why individuals, originally as self-directed and idiosyncratic as all humans are, so often subsume themselves into ideological movements based on idealized visions of the past and contemptuous caricature of the present, with proposals for the future oddly light on practical programs....[M]uch of his analysis illuminates today's Politically Correct black orthodoxy eerily well.

"'Militant' black ideology, even when diluted into quieter convictions among ordinary people, looks to an idealized African past, insists that the present is still, as Ishmael Reed has it, a matter of endless days 'at the front,' and proposes a 'Black Nationalist' future of hazily described multi-class black 'communities' difficult to imagine in an increasingly miscegenated and multicultural nation....

"Hoffer's thesis is that...individuality is an unnatural condition, lending a sense of existential disconnection, so much so that it is almost intolerably threatening to many people. This makes membership in collective ideological movements spiritually attractive, in absolving them of the discomfiting responsibility of making their way as unbounded independent actors.

"Hence, they embrace movements whose manifestos require elisions of empiricism and logic that appear bizarre to the outside observer, based on visceral sentiment disconnected from concrete reality....We look at [them], not understanding that the root of the allegiance was more a desperate self-erasure than constructive progress.

"Black Power ideology has, obviously, inspired nothing remotely as hideous as Hitler or Mussolini. But the hold that this way of thinking has exerted upon so many is due to the same inner quest for self-abnegation that Hoffer described. Freed from overt segregation and discrimination after the sixties, black Americans were faced for the first time in their history with true choice, with opportunities to succeed—or, crucially, perhaps fail. In other words, the new legislation at last gave blacks their place in civilization, as it were, such that they could play their part on the American stage as individuals. But as Hoffer noted, being an individual can be challenging. The challenge was especially intimidating for a people who had had so little opportunity to prepare themselves for the task.

"Naturally, then, for many the response was a new hypersensitivity to the obstacles, a new fetishization of The Man, not right in front of you but there, all around you, like oxygen or God, holding you back, cutting you down. It's not about me—(that is, I'm not sure how I feel about me)—it's about him. As such, today's black American meme of therapeutic alienation, albeit occupying not the battlefield but the university classroom, the kitchen table, the black call-in radio show, the blogsite, and the hip-hop CD is a product of the same tendencies in mass movements that Hoffer describes in other times and places.

"Hoffer notes that under this kind of movement, 'to rely on the evidence of the senses and of reason is heresy and treason,' since the guiding imperative is to march in lockstep to an ideology whose core motivation is opposition to the present at all costs. Thus, a core of black scholars of Black English insisted in 1996 that black students require tutelage in 'Ebonics,' despite reams of studies in contradiction....Those who questioned the orthodoxy were tarred as morally unfit, regardless of the facts they brought to bear on the issue. The key was simply whether you were with us or against us.

"Because reality is always complex, an ideology so compelling as to seduce an individual into marching in step with thousands of others must be based on ideas that address the gut rather than the brain. But because the real world is complex, these ideas can never withstand careful analysis, such that as Hoffer put it, 'a doctrine that is understood is shorn of its strength.' Thus, it is pretended that race issues are uniquely 'complex,' their mystical underpinnings proposed as justifying assumptions such as that unequal outcomes always mean unequal opportunity. To get down to cases is to be accused of 'not getting it,' with little attempt at logical elucidation necessary. Predictably, adherents value what Hoffer pegged as 'impassioned double-talk and sonorous refrains' more than 'precise words joined together with faultless logic,' and, hence, black scholars like Cornel West rocking black audiences with Latinate words delivered in the cadences of the church and the street, with the content of what they are saying considered a background concern. I have watched black fans of West start mm-hmming to his cadences and angular gestures even when what he was saying was either too arcane for any but one or two scholars in attendance to know whether it was true or too ordinary to merit such vigorous consent on its face alone. The theatrics alone are the message.

"For those uncomfortable to see this ideology likened to Hitler and Mussolini, we might heed thinkers like Erik Erikson, who wrote that in moments of rapid social change, 'youth feels endangered, individually and collectively, whereupon it becomes ready to support doctrines offering a total immersion in a synthetic identity (extreme nationalism, racism, or class consciousness) and a collective condemnation of a totally stereotyped enemy of the new identity.' It is not hard to see post–Civil Rights black America in that description, and Erikson meant exactly what Hoffer did." – pp. 164–7

"My argumentation so far could possibly be misinterpreted as implying that racism alone was what created therapeutic alienation. However, racism had been a reality forever: It must be understood that this response to racism was in turn enabled by a particularity of the moment: whites' new interest in the black condition amid the commitments of the counterculture. This allowed a new vent for a spiritual insecurity among blacks that had existed for centuries with whites uninterested in paying it attention. After all, there are all kinds of human responses to insecurity, and black Americans had previously manifested many of them.

"Insecurity can make you work harder....Insecurity can make you withdraw into yourself and have as little contact with The Man as possible....Insecurity can make you just give up and while away your days in idle misery....Or—insecurity might make you dutifully protest when a white woman uses the word n[——] in condemning it. But that will only happen with the precondition of an Establishment newly receptive to such a 'message.'

"Only in the late sixties...could William H. Grier and Price M. Cobbs's Black Rage become a best seller, introducing the idea that blacks' problem was not only discrimination but also whites' deep-seated psychological feelings of bias against blacks. This helped usher in a keystone of therapeutic alienation, that our interest is in whether all whites esteem us in their heart of hearts.

"That seems so ordinary now but is, in fact, a rather eccentric fetish of ours. Blacks before the late sixties assumed that whites did not like us, and thought that sheer opportunity was what their people needed. But starting in the late sixties, endless investigations and condemnations of whites' psychological biases against blacks took center stage—even though blacks' regularly saying that they thought whites would always be racist meant that the goal was less to fix something than to dwell in it indefinitely. As historian Elizabeth Lasch-Quinn has it,

The desired goal was no longer civic equality and participation, but individual psychic well-being. This psychological state was much more nebulous, open to interpretation, difficult to achieve, and controversial than the universal guarantee of political equality sought by the early civil rights movement....

"Black Rage was being planned and written...basically concurrently with the Civil Rights Act. The new focus on psychological issues emerged, then, just as discrimination was outlawed and white consensus on blacks shifted from dismissal to professional guilt....

"Nevertheless, Cobbs pioneered encounter groups in which blacks dressed down whites for their subliminal racism, a trope familiar to any number of people who have sat through corporate diversity 'seminars' since. This kind of thing has only been possible in an America where two conditions reigned. One was that blacks gained a sense of comfort in assailing whites, with only faintly constructive purpose, as a coping strategy for feelings of insecurity....There was another necessary condition: Whites were newly open to pretending to like being yelled at[,] and that has only been the case since the sixties.

"Therapeutic alienation, then, was spurred not only by 'racism,' but also by a particular congruence of sociopolitical factors at a particular time. If the new ideology of the sixties were a response simply to 'oppression' writ large, or blacks being finally 'fed up,' then we might try some thought experiments[:] 1876...1919...1947...

"Well, why not? There is not a thing in any of these hypothetical accounts that would seem at all illogical in John Hope Franklin's keystone black history text From Slavery to Freedom—except for the fact that, we immediately think, if blacks had tried such things in those times, whitey would have crushed us like a bug. Which is true. The angry, theatrical separatism now so often treated as genuine and progressive was impossible until whites were poised to give it the floor. And this means one thing: The privileging of alienation over action so familiar to us is not an inevitable response to being given a really bad hand. If it was, it would have ruled black America, really, starting in the early 1600s. It is one of many responses possible. The one we know is only so common because in the sixties it became possible—and only then." – pp. 167–70

"In 2000, the New York Times solicited opinions for one of those Conversations on Race, in which black psychologist Beverly Daniel Tatum...intoned...the solution is 'a structured dialogue about race relations.'

"[W]hat, exactly, would the 'structure' be?...The 'structure'...will be imposed upon the whites. That is, the 'structure' will be one in which Tatum gets what she wants: People like her get to decry with no obligation to make sense, while whites have a choice between nodding sympathetically or being tarred as racists. Anything other than this will not satisfy her[.]

"Logic does not allow that Tatum requires this out of a genuine sense that it will achieve anything for black America. After all, people like her have been foisting this kind of 'structured dialogue' upon white America for forty years, and yet remain aggrieved that a debt remains unpaid to black people, that the day has not yet come when whites across our nation get down on their knees and 'understand,' and forthwith somehow render all blacks backyard-barbecuing middle-class Cosby Show homeowners. Tatum has seen no evidence that this kind of 'dialogue' has any concrete effect—but continues to call for it in prominent venues.

"This is because what really drives her is personal. When one feels inferior to whites deep down, one is uncomfortable presenting oneself as a self-directed individual. That individual wouldn't be good enough. So one seeks a tribal identity, hiding oneself within a multitude living for an abstract ideology larger than any one person. That ideology is one lending a substitute identity, one seductively easy to fall into and soothing to the soul for someone whom history divested of anything more connected with reality. That is an identity based on being the noble underdog battling an evil machine—regardless of what is actually happening in the land that one's ancestors turned upside down to make one's life and career possible." – pp. 184–5

"People embrace alienation as a way of hiding from facing the real world as self-realizing individuals....The New York Times portrayed an aspiring young rapper philosophizing about the problematic tendency for hip-hop to celebrate black pathology. He hit it right on the nose: The nasty lyrics are about the fact that 'I'm valid when I'm disrespected.'" – p. 335

"A black film industry executive says the following in 2005:

I don't think much has changed for black films....

"This man, too, is hindered by history from standing on his own two feet. He is willfully ignoring the heartening progress under his very nose because endlessly rehearsing the same old anti-whitey theatrics gives him a sense of comfort. He is part of a herd nurturing a predictable and eternally self-affirming ideology. He affirms himself via the presumed affirmation of that herd, not via affirmation of himself alone. He stays with that herd because he would not quite know how to affirm his sense of self-worth outside of a herd, as just an individual, himself, engaging with the complexities of the world as it actually is. This is not surpising given the history of his people. However, the fact remains that the worldview of people like this—with the injustices of history resoundingly acknowledged, regretted, and even reviled—does not correspond to current reality. I have ventured an argument as to why, and I do not mean it as a dismissive one. But I do believe that a truly progressive orientation toward black America must refrain from treating views like this as valuable counsel.

"The view that what black America needs is for whites from the suburbs to the Capitol to face their inner racism and learn of remnant racial discrepancies is not complex. Nor is it even accurate, as our pre–Civil Rights ancestors knew so well. It is performance, by people who made the best of themselves with neither of those things even in the cards. But other black people need help now. As they sit mired in what American cultural history did to them, basic morality leaves no room for luckier blacks to nurture a self-indulgent tic passing as politics, thought, and compassion.

"Forty years ago this same tic distracted white and black America into turning black communities across the nation into hells on earth. We're still living with the consequences. Under the influence of this tic, instead of overcoming, we condemn ourselves to merely undergoing. We must take a deep breath, rub our eyes, put our shoulders back, and let this tic go—free at last." – pp. 389–91

Copyright (c) 2021 Mark D. Blackwell.

Wednesday, May 26, 2021

Abandon-business events and a history book (Cynical Theories)

In a previous post, Generational tipping point: 2021, I hypothesized a certain kind of Strauss-Howe generational event. I define "abandon business" events as the yielding of dominance and power by a dominant generation to its successor. This, of course, would affect the entire society.

First, it's fallacious to look for evidence to confirm any hypothesis—per Karl Popper's theory of the separation of science from non-science. The scientific method, according to Popper, excludes this fallacy of verificationism (which is also called evidential induction). It prescribes, instead, that we attempt to falsify all hypotheses. For more on verificationism, see:

Here, while seeming to commit perhaps the above-mentioned fallacy of verificationism (i.e., by searching for some evidence to confirm my hypothesis), instead I suggest, for any book of history, that we contemplate all of the dates it mentions (without cherry-picking from them) in order to see whether their associated stories fit (or alternatively falsify) my hypothesis: that a framework of generational abandon-business events influences the course of history. Do the book's meaningful dates fall after the generational events which I hypothesized (even if not particularly closely), so that it's even feasible for the abandon-business events, along with the resulting generational reigns, to have helped to cause the dated events described by the selected history book?

Using the book: Cynical Theories: How Activist Scholarship Made Everything about Race, Gender and Identity—and Why This Harms Everybody by Helen Pluckrose & James Lindsay (2020), the abandon-business events (from my hypothesis) that are relevant to the book are:

        Event-Year  =  Last-Birth-Year  +  Offset  –  Event  –  Generation  –  (Type)

        1961 = 1900 + 61 – abandon business – Lost generation – (Damaged)
        1985 = 1924 + 61 – abandon business – G.I. generation – (Together)
        2003 = 1942 + 61 – abandon business – Silent generation – (Smooth)

Thus 1961, 1985, and 2003 were the beginnings of the reigns of the G.I., Silent, and Baby Boom generations, precisely because the Lost, G.I., and Silent generations (the immediate precursor generations) were abandoning business just then:

        1961 = 1900 + 61 – abandon business – Lost generation – (Damaged):   This resulted in the reign of the G.I. (Together) generation;

        1985 = 1924 + 61 – abandon business – G.I. generation – (Together):   This resulted in the reign of the Silent (Smooth) generation; and

        2003 = 1942 + 61 – abandon business – Silent generation – (Smooth):   This resulted in the reign of the Baby Boom (Authentic) generation.

Below, I've quoted all of the book's mentionings of dates in its history of postmodernism. Regarding the three waves ("postmodernism," "applied postmodernism," and "reified postmodernism") described in the book, a separate abandon-business event does seem indeed to have helped to cause each one. The evidence for this is that the three waves occurred during the reigns respectively of the G.I., Silent, and Baby Boom generations.

Finally, here are the quotations (for review purposes, and please keep in mind the three years of 1961, 1985, and 2003):

        "Postmodernism first burst onto the intellectual scene in the late 1960s[,] and quickly became wildly fashionable among leftist and left-leaning academics....After its first big bang beginning in the late 1960s, the high deconstructive phase of postmodernism burn[ed] itself out by the early 1980s....The common wisdom among academics is that, by the 1990s, postmodernism had died. But, in fact, it simply mutated from its earlier high deconstructive phase into a new form....This change occurred as a new wave of Theorists emerged in the late 1980s and early 1990s." – pp. 45–6

        "Theory, in this sense, has not gone away, but neither has it stayed the same. Between the late 1980s and roughly 2010, it developed the applicability of its underlying concepts[,] and came to form the basis of entirely new fields of scholarship, which have since become profoundly influential." – pp. 46–8

        "By losing the ironic playfulness and despair of meaning characteristic of high-deconstructive postmodernism[,] and by becoming goal-oriented, Theorists of the 1980s and 1990s made postmodernism applicable to institutions and politics....After the applied postmodern turn, postmodernism was no longer a mode of describing society and undermining confidence in long-established models of reality: it now aspired to be a tool of Social Justice. This ambition would come to fruition in the early 2010s, when a second significant evolutionary mutation in postmodernism occurred....The intense scrutiny of language and development of ever stricter rules for terminology pertaining to identity often known as political correctness came to a head in the 1990s and has again become pertinent since the mid-2010s....As these methods can be applied to virtually anything, a vast body of work drawing on any (or all) identity-based fields has emerged since roughly 2010." – pp. 61–3

        "While, initially, postcolonial Theory scholarship mostly took the form of literary criticism and the discursive analysis of writing about colonialism...the field gradually expanded and simplified. By the early 2000s, the concept of decolonizing everything had begun to dominate scholarship and activism, and new scholars were using and developing the concepts in different ways, with more actionable elements....The aims of postcolonial Theory also became more concrete: focusing less on disrupting discourses they saw as colonialist in the fairly pessimistic way typical of postmodernism[,] and more on taking active steps to decolonize these, using the militant Social Justice approach that has taken hold since 2010." – p. 77

        "If we think of the first postmodernists of the late 1960s as a manifestation of radical skepticism and despair[,] and the second wave, from the late 1980s, as a recovery from hopelessness[,] and a drive to make [the] core ideas politically actionable, [then] this third wave, which became prominent between the late 2000s and the early 2010s, has fully recovered its certainty and activist zeal. The first postmodernists were reacting largely to the failure of Marxism, the longstanding analytical framework of the academic left, and suffering from major disillusionment....They therefore sought only to dismantle, deconstruct, and disrupt existing frameworks ironically, with a kind of joyless playfulness. This was the state of cultural thought in the 1970s. By the time this first wave of despairing skepticism—the high deconstructive phase of postmodernism—had worn itself out twenty years later [in the 1990s], the academic left had somewhat recovered hope and was looking for more positive and applicable forms of Theory....Above all else, intersectional feminism sought empowerment through identity politics and collective action, which largely defines the current cultural mood....So, by the 1990s, the applied postmodern turn had arrived, [which] made postmodern Theory actionable, and focused on identity and identity politics. As these Theories developed through the late 1990s into the 2000s within various forms of identity studies...they increasingly combined their aims, to become steadily more intersectional. By the mid-2000s, if you studied one of the key topics...you were expected to factor in all the others....As the 2010s began, the ambiguity and doubt that had characterized postmodernism up until then had almost entirely disappeared[.]" – pp. 184–6

        "Social Justice scholarship does not just rely on the two postmodern principles and four postmodern themes: it treats them and their underlying assumptions as morally righteous known-knowns—as The Truth According to Social Justice. It therefore constitutes a third distinct phase of postmodernism, one we have called reified postmodernism because it treats the abstractions at the heart of postmodernism as if they were real truths about society. To understand how the three phases of postmodernism have developed, imagine a tree with deep roots in radical leftist social theory. The first phase, or high deconstructive phase, from the 1960s to the 1980s (usually simply referred to as 'postmodernism'), gave us the tree trunk: Theory. The second phase, from the 1980s to the mid-2000s, which we call applied postmodernism, gave us the branches....In the current, third phase, which began in the mid-2000s, Theory has gone from being an assumption to being The Truth, a truth that is taken for granted. This has given us the leaves of the tree of Social Justice scholarship, which combines the previous approaches as needed....Social Justice scholarship represents the third phase in the evolution of postmodernism. In this new incarnation, postmodernism...now seeks to apply deconstructive methods and postmodernist principles to the task of creating social change, which it pushes into everything.

        "[W]hat Social Justice scholars [currently] seem in practice to do is to select certain favored interpretations of marginalized people's experience (those consistent with Theory) and anoint these as the 'authentic' ones; all others are explained away as an unfortunate internalization of dominant ideologies or cynical self-interest...at the price of rendering the Social Justice Theory completely unfalsifiable and indefeasible: [N]o matter what evidence about reality (physical, biological, and social)[,] or philosophical argument may be presented, Theory always can and always does explain it away. It is therefore no exaggeration to observe that Social Justice Theorists have created a new religion, a tradition of faith that is actively hostile to reason, falsification, disconfirmation, and disagreement of any kind. Indeed, the whole postmodernist project now seems, in retrospect, like an unwitting attempt to have deconstructed the old metanarratives of Western thought—science and reason along with religion and capitalist economic systems—to make room for a wholly new religion, a postmodern faith based on a dead God, which sees mysterious worldly forces in systems of power and privilege[,] and which sanctifies victimhood. This, increasingly, is the fundamentalist religion of the nominally secular left." – pp. 207–11

        "It is not a coincidence that the applied postmodern turn began in the late 1980s, just as the Civil Rights Movement, liberal feminism, and Gay Pride began to see diminishing returns after twenty years of remarkably rapid progress towards racial, gender, and LGBT equality on a legal and political level. With Jim Crow laws dismantled, Empire fallen, male homosexuality legalized, and discrimination on the grounds of race and sex criminalized, Western society was newly aware and ashamed of its long history of oppression of marginalized groups and wanted to continue righting those wrongs. Since the most significant legal battles had been won, all that remained to tackle were sexist, racist, and homophobic attitudes and discourses. Postmodernism, with its focus on discourses of power and socially constructed knowledge, was perfectly placed to address these." – pp. 230–1

Copyright (c) 2021 Mark D. Blackwell.

Wednesday, October 7, 2020

Generational tipping point: 2021

ABSTRACT

After defining the concept of "social force," some instances of its withdrawal are observed to precede significant social change; causation is conjectured.

An argument is presented, regarding the Strauss-Howe generations, that their final birth year has importance for understanding social change. This birth year's attainment of various threshold ages is observed to correlate with major historical events. In particular, regarding the final birth year, 61 and 71 years of age are seen to accompany a major and minor diminishment in social influence, respectively, for the entire generation.

Finally, based on this, a prediction is made that in the year 2021 the Baby Boom generation's power will diminish, in a major way.

INTRODUCTION

The year 2021 will be a tipping point, away from some of the "craziness" which has been developing continually in the past several decades.

To justify this unexpected prediction, first I'll touch on the topic of social force; then I'll pursue in some depth the topic of generations.

SOCIAL FORCE

Potential social phenomena involve two kinds of social force: one kind that supports, and another kind that resists.

To actually exist, any given phenomenon requires some force to support it (of course). Also, any resisting force must either have withdrawn voluntarily, or else it must have been overpowered. Only then will we see the phenomenon. This view focuses on the static forces involved, and resembles the analysis of static forces in civil engineering.

The removal of a phenomenon is also a phenomenon. The existence of the new phenomenon (which is precisely the absence of the old phenomenon) follows the same static force rules as above. This symmetry is both simplifying and useful.

A dynamic view of forces is useful for understanding social change. Even allowing for mass, inertia, and variable rates of adoption and learning, still the gradual actualization or disappearance of a phenomenon can occur only after some force has been added, or after another force has been withdrawn—or both.

Albeit less known, the second kind of action—the withdrawal of a force—is the focus of this article.

GENERATIONS

Generations, in the Strauss-Howe hypothesis, are cultural and psychological phenomena, irregular in their timing. Each comprises a distinct range of birth years. Their defining boundary years don't match (perhaps naturally) those chosen by most demographers.

Each generation's earlier half (loosely speaking) is called the first wave; its latter half is called the last wave.

The Strauss-Howe generations come in four types; they cycle in the following order:

        Damaged,  Together,  Smooth,  Authentic

(These names are my own.) Each name describes that type's basic, differentiating psychological characteristic.

These arise presumably because each generation (of that type) received particular rewards for expressing that characteristic in childhood.

Initially, each generation is raised by the second-previous generation. This fact, interpreted through peer group influence, "sets the pattern" of its basic characteristic. (Its later-born members are raised by the immediately-previous generation.)

Thus—in some way—as children:

  • With preponderantly last wave Smooth-generation parents, the Damaged generations' first wave is rewarded for being completely and grittily realistic;

  • With preponderantly last wave Authentic-generation parents, the Together generations' first wave is rewarded for playing cooperatively with playmates;

  • With preponderantly last wave Damaged-generation parents, the Smooth generations' first wave is rewarded for calming their parents; and

  • With preponderantly last wave Together-generation parents, the Authentic generations' first wave is rewarded for expressing their deepest, most honest reactions.

In the run-up to the American Civil War, an exceptional cycle elided its Together generation. Thus:

  • First born in 1843, although with preponderantly last wave Transcendental (Authentic) generation parents, the Progressive (Smooth) generation's first wave was rewarded as usual for calming their parents; and

  • First born in 1860, although with preponderantly last wave Gilded (Damaged) generation parents, the Missionary (Authentic) generation's first wave was rewarded as usual for expressing their deepest, most honest reactions.

By elderhood, each generation type's differentiating characteristic becomes an evolved version of its basic characteristic—so that:

  • The Damaged generation type protects society from damage arising from widespread, unconstrained behavior and external threat;

  • The Together generation type confidently (and hugely) reaps rewards bestowable by government;

  • The Smooth generation type aids individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections; and

  • The Authentic generation type destroys society through its individuals' stubborn, independent sense of what's right (idealism): and therefore, through their own, selfish greed.

In the cycle overall, the Damaged generation type—when its power is greatest (and least opposed)—repairs some of the damage inflicted by the previous cycle, and establishes a new, working social order. Then, by turns—each, when its power is greatest—the Together, Smooth, and Authentic generation types increasingly damage that order, and tear it apart.

EVENT YEARS

The concept of an "event year", here, is that of a generation altering its deployment of social forces in a major way. Either its last birth-year cohort finally withdraws a social force, or, less importantly, its first birth-year cohort adds one.

Regarding the following list of familiar, recent generations, my idea is for you to try to connect the "Event-Years", at the left edge of their associated charts, to any historical events which come to mind, which occurred soon afterward (perhaps within ten years):

  • The Millennial generation:

        Event-Year  =  Edge-Birth-Year  +  Offset  –  Event  –  Generation  –  (Type)

        2016 = 1982 + 34 – manage business – Millennial generation – (Together)
        2000 = 1982 + 18 – upturn academia – Millennial generation – (Together)

  • The Gen-X generation:

        1995 = 1961 + 34 – manage business – Gen-X generation – (Damaged)
        1979 = 1961 + 18 – upturn academia – Gen-X generation – (Damaged)

  • The Baby Boom generation:

        1977 = 1943 + 34 – manage business – Baby Boom generation – (Authentic)
        1961 = 1943 + 18 – upturn academia – Baby Boom generation – (Authentic)

  • The Silent generation:

        2013 = 1942 + 71 – abandon politics and academia – Silent generation – (Smooth)
        2003 = 1942 + 61 – abandon business – Silent generation – (Smooth)
        1959 = 1925 + 34 – manage business – Silent generation – (Smooth)
        1943 = 1925 + 18 – upturn academia – Silent generation – (Smooth)

  • The G.I. generation:

        1995 = 1924 + 71 – abandon politics and academia – G.I. generation – (Together)
        1985 = 1924 + 61 – abandon business – G.I. generation – (Together)
        1935 = 1901 + 34 – manage business – G.I. generation – (Together)
        1919 = 1901 + 18 – upturn academia – G.I. generation – (Together)

  • The Lost generation:

        1971 = 1900 + 71 – abandon politics and academia – Lost generation – (Damaged)
        1961 = 1900 + 61 – abandon business – Lost generation – (Damaged)
        1917 = 1883 + 34 – manage business – Lost generation – (Damaged)
        1901 = 1883 + 18 – upturn academia – Lost generation – (Damaged)

Why pick these particular numbers as the offsets? Because these are my best assessments of when the corresponding cultural sea changes actually occurred. In other words, why pick:

  • 71 years, for when control of politics and academia is basically abandoned? This is based on my own tentative observations regarding power in the U.S. Senate, and influential professors;

  • 61 years, for when business control is basically abandoned? It can't be later, because significant events occurred precisely in the predicted sea change years of 1985, 1961, 1943 and 1648 (see below);

  • 34 years, for when a presence in business middle management begins? Because, for the predicted sea change years of:

    • 1995, the Gen-X (Damaged) generation founded the popular, emailed (Matt) Drudge Report in that year;

    • 1977, the Baby Boom (Authentic) generation adopted a success-oriented lifestyle, including attendance at disco music dance halls, with the release of the film, "Saturday Night Fever" in that year; and

    • 1959, the Silent (Smooth) generation responded to Volkswagen's "Think small" Beetle advertisement, which spearheaded advertising's Creative Revolution in that year; and

  • 18 years, for when student presence in academia begins? It can't be earlier, because the youngest significant college attendance happens then.

Now, let's focus on the "abandon business" events:

        2003 = 1942 + 61 – abandon business – Silent generation – (Smooth)
        1985 = 1924 + 61 – abandon business – G.I. generation – (Together)
        1961 = 1900 + 61 – abandon business – Lost generation – (Damaged)
        1943 = 1882 + 61 – abandon business – Missionary generation – (Authentic)
        1920 = 1859 + 61 – abandon business – Progressive generation – (Smooth)
        1903 = 1842 + 61 – abandon business – Gilded generation – (Damaged)
        1882 = 1821 + 61 – abandon business – Transcendental generation – (Authentic)
        1852 = 1791 + 61 – abandon business – Compromise generation – (Smooth)
        1827 = 1766 + 61 – abandon business – Republican generation – (Together)
        1802 = 1741 + 61 – abandon business – Liberty generation – (Damaged)
        1784 = 1723 + 61 – abandon business – Awakening generation – (Authentic)
        1761 = 1700 + 61 – abandon business – Enlightenment generation – (Smooth)
        1734 = 1673 + 61 – abandon business – Glorious generation – (Together)
        1708 = 1647 + 61 – abandon business – Cavalier generation – (Damaged)
        1678 = 1617 + 61 – abandon business – Puritan generation – (Authentic)
        1648 = 1587 + 61 – abandon business – Parliamentary generation – (Smooth)
        1626 = 1565 + 61 – abandon business – Elizabethan generation – (Together)
        1601 = 1540 + 61 – abandon business – Reprisal generation – (Damaged)
        1572 = 1511 + 61 – abandon business – Reformation generation – (Authentic)
        1543 = 1482 + 61 – abandon business – Humanist generation – (Smooth)
        1521 = 1460 + 61 – abandon business – Arthurian generation – (Together)

These are arguably the tipping points of greatest significance: when the social influence of that generation type basically ceases. Their influence then becomes sorely missed. For instance, the following generation types, by ceasing their influence, seem to have caused these corresponding events:

  • The Silent (Smooth) generation in 2003 ceased "aid[ing] individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections."

    • This caused the financial sector's rules to evolve gradually toward increasing fraud and cheating of individual investors, including the ballooning of subprime mortgage lending beginning in 2004, eventually resulting in the Great Recession of 2008. And, it caused the Iraq War in 2003;

  • The G.I. (Together) generation in 1985 ceased "confidently (and hugely) reap[ing] rewards bestowable by government."

    • This caused the creation of the Gramm-Rudman U.S. federal budget restrictions in 1985, and the U.S. Congressional PAYGO rules restricting expenditures in 1990. And, it caused Britain to sign the Single European Act, the beginnings of the European Union, in 1986;

  • The Lost (Damaged) generation in 1961 ceased "protect[ing] society from damage arising from widespread, unconstrained behavior and external threat."

    • This caused social norms to be loosened, beginning in the 1960s. Noteworthy are the movies released beginning in 1961. And, it caused the U.S. Revenue Act of 1964, which reduced the top marginal tax rate to 77%. It had been at least 91% since 1951;

  • The Missionary (Authentic) generation in 1943 ceased "destroy[ing] society through its individuals' stubborn, independent sense of what's right (idealism): and therefore, through their own, selfish greed."

    • This caused the world to stop pursuing its dreams of German, Italian and Japanese domination, and the Allies to gain momentum, both in 1943. And, it caused the era of New Deal Liberalism: cooperation among government, corporations and labor;

  • The Progressive (Smooth) generation in 1920 ceased "aid[ing] individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections."

    • This caused the financial sector's rules to evolve gradually toward increasing fraud and cheating of individual investors, which eventually resulted in the Great Depression of the 1930s;

  • The Compromise (Smooth) generation in 1852 ceased "aid[ing] individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections."

    • Regarding individuals who wished to settle safely in U.S. territories (and avoid war), this caused the Kansas–Nebraska Act of 1854, the decisive, uncompromising Dred Scott v. Sandford U.S. Supreme Court decision in 1857, and the American Civil War in 1861;

  • The Enlightenment (Smooth) generation in 1761 ceased "aid[ing] individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections."

    • This caused the "long train of abuses and usurpations" of the American Revolution which began in 1765; and

  • The Parliamentary (Smooth) generation in 1648 ceased "aid[ing] individuals through broad governmental power: promoting and preserving rights, freedoms, and protections."

    • Offending those individuals who disliked military takeover of government, this caused the imprisonment of Charles I for trial, and Pride's Purge which created the Rump Parliament, both in 1648.

The Authentic generation type's abandon-business events are of crucial importance:

        1943 = 1882 + 61 – abandon business – Missionary generation – (Authentic)
        1882 = 1821 + 61 – abandon business – Transcendental generation – (Authentic)
        1784 = 1723 + 61 – abandon business – Awakening generation – (Authentic)
        1678 = 1617 + 61 – abandon business – Puritan generation – (Authentic)
        1572 = 1511 + 61 – abandon business – Reformation generation – (Authentic)

Again, social change is often caused by the withdrawal of a force. Thus:

  • For the Missionary (Authentic) generation—see above;

  • The Transcendental (Authentic) generation abandoned business in 1882, thus lessening idealism; this caused the disenfranchisement of blacks after the Reconstruction era;

  • The Awakening (Authentic) generation abandoned business in 1784, thus lessening selfishness; this caused the U.S. Constitutional Convention in 1787;

  • The Puritan (Authentic) generation abandoned business in 1678, thus lessening idealism; this caused Britain's Glorious Revolution of 1688; and

  • The Reformation (Authentic) generation abandoned business in 1572, thus lessening idealism; this caused the first successful Elizabethan London theaters to open in 1576.

Note that each such tipping point—when an Authentic generation abandons business—completes a period of great conflict.

PREDICTION

Finally, most important is the next such tipping point. It will be:

        2021 = 1960 + 61 – abandon business – Baby Boom generation – (Authentic)

Therefore, next year, in 2021, the world will change, in a major way—regardless of whoever wins the U.S. presidential election.

At that upcoming tipping point, the world's craziness—its idealism and selfishness—will slowly cease. Our large corporate businesses will be helmed by enough members of the Gen-X (Damaged) generation for the world to grow sensible and safe again.

Consider all of the Gen-X directed projects, cultural and otherwise, that we've seen recently. These foreshadow the nature, of course, of the upcoming Gen-X order.

Copyright (c) 2020 Mark D. Blackwell.

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Churches (& synagogues) and "When Growth Stalls" by Olson, Bever & Verry

(Please read "church" to include "synagogue.")

This post is about how to increase church membership, over the long and medium haul. Doing so, I believe, inevitably will require churches to attract the Millennial generation—at least some of them—into membership. (Millennials are people born 1982 through 2004.)

In light of that goal, for most mainstream churches, the following, interesting article (quoted for review purposes) is relevant:

"When Growth Stalls", Matthew S. Olson, Derek van Bever, Seth Verry, 2008-March

adapted from the book:

Stall Points: Most Companies Stop Growing—Yours Doesn't Have To, Matthew S. Olson, Derek van Bever, 2008-April

Although truth often is our adversary, it's also our friend (of course). Only by keeping abreast of it, can we securely craft a winning strategy. Please don't feel that this post merely adds insult to injury!

ARTICLE EXTRACTS BEGIN

[A] growth stall [is] a crisis that can hit even the most exemplary organizations. [Characteristic] is the stall's suddenness. [M]ost organizations actually accelerate into a stall, experiencing unprecedented progress along key measures[,] just before growth rates tumble. When the momentum is lost, it's as if the props have been knocked out[,] from under their corporate strategy....Typically, few on the senior team see the stall coming; core performance metrics often fail to register trouble on the horizon.

As part of our ongoing research into growth, the Corporate Executive Board recently completed a comprehensive analysis of the growth experiences of some 500 leading corporations in the past half century, focusing particularly on "stall points"—our term for the start of [long-term] reversals in company growth fortunes[.] The study revealed patterns in the incidence, costs, and root causes of growth stalls.

[T]he vast majority of stall factors result from a choice[,] about strategy or organizational design. They are, in other words, controllable by management. Further, even within this broad realm, nearly half of all root causes fall into one of four categories: premium-position captivity, innovation management breakdown, premature core abandonment, and talent bench shortfall.

In this article we'll offer advice for avoiding these hazards, drawing from practices currently in use at large, high-growth companies[,] to foresee possible stalls and [to] head them off. More generally[,] we will explore why management is so often blindsided by these events. As we will show, a large number of global companies may at this moment be perilously close to their own stall points. Knowing how to avoid growth stalls begins with understanding their causes. Let's look at each of the four categories[:]

When a Premium Position Backfires

By far the largest category of factors responsible for serious...stalls is what we have labeled premium-position captivity: the inability of a firm to respond effectively...to a significant shift in customer valuation of product features.

We use the term "captivity" because it suggests how management teams can be hemmed in by a long history of success. A company that solidly occupies a premium market position remains insulated longer than its competitors against evolution in the external environment. It has less reason to doubt its business model, which has historically provided a competitive advantage, and once it perceives the crisis, it changes too little[,] too late. When the towering strengths of a firm are transformed into towering weaknesses, it's a cruel reversal.

In documenting premium-position captivity in leading enterprises, we saw a cycle of disdain, denial, and rationalization that kept many management teams from responding meaningfully to market changes.

In [some] cases,...organizations...simply don't recognize the importance of an emerging...customer preference in their core markets. They continue to place their bets on product or service attributes that are in decline, while disruptive entrants emphasizing different, underrecognized features gain ground.

Easiest to spot in marketing data are pockets of rapid market share loss, particularly in narrow customer segments, and increasing resistance among key customers[.]

When it comes to management attitudes, your ears may pick up the strongest clues: Listen closely to the tone in the executive suite when conversation turns to upstart competitors or to successful rivals that are viewed as less capable. Is it acceptable, or routine, to dismiss them as unworthy? Do your processes for gathering intelligence about your competitors ignore some of these market participants because of their...perceived lack of quality? Indulging in such behavior is common, but it's a luxury that no market leader can afford.

When Innovation Management Breaks Down

The second most frequent cause of growth stalls is what we call innovation management breakdown: some chronic problem in managing the internal business processes for updating existing products and services and creating new ones. We saw manifestations of this at every major stage along the activity chain of product innovation, from basic research and development to product commercialization.

Where...growth stalls could be attributed to innovation breakdown, the problems emphatically did not center on individual product launch failures[.] By contrast, the [long-term] growth stalls we identified were attributable to systemic inefficiencies or dysfunctions. [W]hen things go wrong here—at the heart of these organizations' most important business process—extremely serious, multiyear problems result.

As we looked at the variety of ways in which problems in the innovation management process can eventually produce major...stalls, we were struck by the fragility of this chain of activities, and by how vulnerable the whole process is to management decisions made to achieve perfectly valid corporate goals.

When a Core Business Is Abandoned

The third major cause of...stalls is premature core abandonment: the failure to fully exploit growth opportunities in the existing core business.

The two most common mistakes we saw in this category were [1.] believing that one's core markets are saturated[;] and [2.] viewing operational impediments in the core business model as a signal to move on to new, presumably easier competitive terrain.

Just as interesting as getting it wrong on core business growth prospects is the tendency of executive teams to simply give up on apparently intractable problems in their core businesses.

Of all the red flags signaling stall risk, one of the most obvious is management's use of the term "mature" to refer to any of its product lines, business units, or divisions....Established businesses should be managed against significant revenue and earnings goals, and business leaders should actively explore the potential of new business models to rejuvenate even the most "mature" businesses.

When Talent Comes Up Short

Our fourth major category is talent bench shortfall: a lack of leaders and staff with the skills and capabilities required for strategy execution.

Few companies formally monitor the balance in the executive team[,] between company lifers and newer hires who offer fresh perspectives and approaches. Furthermore, large companies have a fairly poor track record on incorporating new voices into senior management....And management development programs all too often focus on replicating the skill sets of the current leadership, rather than on developing the novel skills and perspectives that tomorrow's leaders will need[, in order] to overcome evolving challenges.

We have identified a simple way to ensure balance in the senior executive ranks...Our analysis...suggests that the sweet spot for external talent is somewhere between 10% and 30% of senior management.

When What You Know Is No Longer So

One culprit in all our case studies was management's failure to bring the underlying assumptions that drive company strategy into line with changes in the external environment—whether because of a lack of awareness that the gap existed or was widening, or because of faulty prioritization.

The lack of awareness is particularly vexing, because it is so insidious. Strategic assumptions begin life as observations about customers, competitors, or technologies that arise from direct experience. They are then enshrined in the strategic plan and translated into operational guidance. Eventually they harden into orthodoxy. This explains why, when we examine individual case studies, we so often find that those assumptions the team has held the longest[,] or the most deeply[,] are the likeliest to be its undoing. Some beliefs have come to appear so obvious that it is no longer politic to debate them.

Articulating and Testing Strategic Assumptions

What could the company's senior managers have seen in their markets, in their competitors' behavior, in their own internal practices, that might have alerted them to an impending stall? We looked at our detailed case histories for warning signs before the stall point that perhaps hadn't received the scrutiny they deserved, and uncovered 50 red flags, all rooted in the real experience of the companies we studied. Our 20/20 hindsight may enable you to spot signs faster in your own organization[:]

Red Flags for Growth Stalls

Below is a sampling of red flags....To the extent that your senior team and high-potential managers see these as areas for concern, you may be headed for a free fall[:]

  • Our core assumptions about the marketplace[,] and...our strategy[,] are not written down[;]

  • We haven't revisited our market definition boundaries, and [also] therefore our list of current and emerging competitors, in several years[;]

  • We haven't refreshed our working definition of our core market, and [also] therefore our understanding of our market share, in several years[; and]

  • We test only infrequently for shifts in key customer groups' valuation of our product/service attributes.

Also included in our tool kit are four practices[,] drawn from those [which] we've seen management teams use. The first two are effective in making strategic assumptions explicit, and the latter two are designed to test those assumptions[,] for ongoing relevance and accuracy[:]

  1. Commission a core-belief identification squad

    This practice is simple to execute and involves calling on a diverse, cross-functional working group to go hunting for the firm's most deeply held assumptions about itself and the industry in which it operates....The best-functioning squads include a significant share of younger, newer employees, who are less likely to be invested in current orthodoxies.

    Their efforts are most fruitful when the team is prepared to raise thorny issues and challenge entrenched beliefs, using methods ranging from reality checks—["] What industry are we in? Who are our customers? ["]—to more provocative explorations: ["] What 10  [ (ten) ]  things would you never hear customers say about our business? Which firms have succeeded by breaking the established 'rules' of the industry? What conventions did they overturn? ["]

    One leading...company told us that it had used this practice to kick off an inquiry into long-term growth pathways[,] and to challenge conventions that had taken hold through the years.

  2. Conduct a premortem strategic analysis

    Many leaders have found it useful to charge teams with developing competing visions of the future success—or failure—of the company[,] as it would be reported in a business periodical five years hence....By seeing which issues the scenarios have in common, leadership teams can identify the subset of core beliefs that should be most closely examined and monitored.

  3. Appoint a shadow cabinet

    [as in the British Parliamentary system, in order "to discuss alternatives to current strategy(,) and (to) look for red flag indicators." — per comment:

    "Learning from Failure—the Competitive Advantage of Silicon Valley", Ian D. Griffin, 2009-March]

    [B]ecause senior executives are usually most attached to the assumptions underlying current strategy[,] they find the fresh perspectives offered by this creditable, well-informed constituency extremely valuable.

  4. Invite a venture capitalist to your [periodic] strategy review

    An effective way to bring an external perspective to bear on strategy assumptions is to ask a qualified venture capitalist to sit in on...strategy and investment reviews and probe for potential weaknesses. The benefits for...managers come...generally from the practical, payback-focused lens that the VC brings to the review.

    [ (Instead of a venture capitalist, more appropriate for a church may be an outside expert.) ]

Renewing Competence in Strategy

What gives force to our advocacy is that growth stalls can have dire consequences: They bring down even the most admired companies; they exact a sizable financial and human toll; and their impact may be permanent. After a stall sets in, the odds against recovery rise dramatically with the passage of time.

Compounding this urgency, all signs point to an increasing risk of stalls in the near future. Of particular concern today is the shrinking half-life of established business models. The importance of spotting change[,] early enough to react in time[,] is rising exponentially. The practices we outline here create that early-warning capability. As critical, they make the strategy conversation ongoing[.]

Whatever other concerns are on the strategy agenda, guarding against growth stalls should be at the top. The tools we offer will enable the executive team to continually test the accuracy of its worldview and to flag any flawed assumptions that might trigger a stall[,] if they go uncorrected.

END OF ARTICLE EXTRACTS

Copyright (c) 2018 Mark D. Blackwell.